Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 1.864040 2.141286 2.448937 2.816213 3.243495 3.725804 4.312762
2025-05-04 1.468679 1.844297 2.302720 2.905997 3.682920 4.655024 5.971708
2025-05-11 1.230179 1.639653 2.172440 2.921711 3.956677 5.348106 7.381010
2025-05-18 1.066017 1.490509 2.072111 2.935460 4.198622 6.000992 8.806667
2025-05-25 0.913549 1.329348 1.924212 2.848438 4.268396 6.400389 9.905973
2025-06-01 0.825811 1.245996 1.871260 2.884158 4.512081 7.074680 11.509812
2025-06-08 0.762649 1.189440 1.847875 2.956422 4.814169 7.870580 13.421611
2025-06-15 0.695624 1.117618 1.790130 2.962551 5.003504 8.499715 15.137763
2025-06-22 0.624477 1.030364 1.696340 2.894478 5.053392 8.890372 16.478270
2025-06-29 0.567023 0.959184 1.620498 2.846099 5.127883 9.327956 17.964430
2025-07-06 0.515082 0.891721 1.543246 2.784669 5.167911 9.702165 19.377218
2025-07-13 0.491575 0.871511 1.546215 2.869228 5.491346 10.655157 22.109768
2025-07-20 0.447613 0.814894 1.486526 2.846623 5.640851 11.362923 24.630382
2025-07-27 0.420904 0.788300 1.481584 2.935091 6.039660 12.673561 28.819928
2025-08-03 0.389101 0.747722 1.444072 2.951063 6.286997 13.701069 32.579594
2025-08-10 0.360904 0.710643 1.408437 2.964958 6.530636 14.761239 36.656969
2025-08-17 0.326180 0.656275 1.330934 2.876994 6.529002 15.250987 39.391769
2025-08-24 0.306599 0.630914 1.310659 2.913101 6.822624 16.502568 44.449930
2025-08-31 0.291963 0.614281 1.306872 2.986147 7.217339 18.079380 50.803417
2025-09-07 0.273466 0.587142 1.276695 2.992342 7.445646 19.267368 56.324646
2025-09-14 0.251406 0.549690 1.218988 2.923532 7.468900 19.908708 60.346520
2025-09-21 0.232884 0.518329 1.171805 2.874630 7.537724 20.690992 65.022829
2025-09-28 0.215296 0.487325 1.122062 2.812537 7.560873 21.348215 69.466284